Violence has exploded in Burma after elections that are being criticized as neither fair nor free and an estimated 15,000 people have crossed the border into rain soaked Thailand. You might be asking, "What does that have to do with weather?" Weather will play a key role in the ability of international aid helping the refugees.
The good news is that the weather will not play much of a role. The dry season has begun across most of Burma. The heavy rains have come to a close in Thailand and seasonably dry conditions have settled into the region. Streams and rivers are now draining down and all out regional crisis has likely been avoided. Little to no rain is expected in Burma and northern Thailand until April, which will allow aid groups access to the refugees.