Even though long term moisture deficits remain, catastrophic flooding has occurred across a wide swath of southern China, including along the Yangtze River. In South Asia, the front range of the Himalayas have reported some rain. However, much of northeastern and eastern India along with Bhutan, Bangladesh and Burma remain parched. Precipitation has also been suppressed in southeast Asia. Recently rains have arrived in parts of Cambodia and Vietnam.
Drought has remained firmly in India, from West Bengal eastward across Bangladesh and into Burma, and northward through Arunachal Pradesh and into Tibet and Bhutan. The front range of the Himalayas, however, east of Bhutan in India, have received some rainfall, including most of Nepal. More rainfall is need throughout this region if crops are expected to survive. It is highly unusual that so little rain would fall in this area that people and infrastructure may struggle to properly cope with the scenario, if relief does not arrive soon. Next week could bring some rainfall, possibly heavy, to the region.
Moisture has been suppressed in southeast Asia also, and there is a risk that the annual flooding of the Mekong River basin may be smaller that usual. There are some bright spots, however, much of northern and western Thailand has remained at or above climatology thus far this season. Thanks to some recent rainfall, eastern Cambodia and southern Vietnam have also been fairing better. More moderate precipitation is possible next week throughout southeast Asia.